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Couple that with a 2.1% dividend yield (my assumption based on the current dividend yield) and you have a total return for the S 500 of 10% in 2017. That is very similar to the average total return in the S 500 going back into the 1920s. So using the median simulation as a barometer suggests a very average year for the S in 2017.But also of interest is the negative tail.
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